Exponential smoothing method is commonly used to predict the time series one of the ways, the theoretical basis of the trend of the extension, that is, a certain period of time what the next evolution in the number of characteristics are not out of the development trend of the past to predict the value of all previous observations is the weighted and, on different data and different weights given to more recent data to give greater weights, the more long-term data to give the smaller weights.

建立指数平滑模型.doc

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